CEO Shooter

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Basic

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?77% chance

Premium

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

79%

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

77%

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

51%

Mental illness

50%

Chronic Back Pain

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Luigi Mangione manifesto prop bets (add answers)

99%

UnitedHealthcare mentioned by name (incl abbreviations)

98.9%

Mentions “The Feds”

98.9%

Mentions mafia or derivative (e.g. mob, mafioso)

98.2%

Is under 300 words

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Is Luigi Mangione the person who shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson?82% chance

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Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?47% chance

Basic

Will there be evidence showing the UnitedHealthcare shooter had a Manifold account by end of March 2025?YES

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Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?YES

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Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?NO

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Luigi Mangione UnitedHealthcare Shooter likes the following stereotypical things:

72%

Richard Stallman

69%

Neon Genesis Evangelion

50%

Red Scare

50%

Attack on titan

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What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]

37%

Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)

31%

Becomes subject of an official request for user information by a government agency

9%

Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)

9%

Renamed or Profile pic changes

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