Israel

➕
Plus
When will the hostilities in Gaza end?
4%
Jan 2025 or earlier
9%
Feb 2025 or earlier
13%
Mar 2025 or earlier
16%
April 2025 or earlier
See 18 more answers
NBC News
Israel vows to maintain 'full freedom of action' in Gaza, says ceasefire is close
Israel's defense minister has vowed that it would maintain “full freedom of action” in the Gaza Strip after fighting ends in the Palestinian enclave, a day after raising hopes that a ceasefire and hostage deal was imminent.
💎
Premium
When will there be an Israel-Hamas temporary ceasefire?
Resolved
NO
May 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
June 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
July 1st or earlier
Resolved
NO
August 1st or earlier
See 6 more answers
➕
Plus
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?36% chance
💎
Premium
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?NO
➕
Plus
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 10,000 deaths before 2025?NO
➕
Plus
When will Gaza have a ceasefire? (before end of which month?) [Israel Hamas Conflict]
0.2%
Before the end of Dec 2024
76%
Before the end of Jun 2025
91%
Before the end of Dec 2025
90%
Before the end of Jun 2026
See 16 more answers
➕
Plus
Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?72% chance
➕
Plus
[ACX 2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?YES
➕
Plus
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?13% chance
➕
Plus
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?NO
➕
Plus
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?20% chance
See more questions:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules