Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
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Nov 6
50%
chance

Within a year of the election, will Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk?

This could be for any reason, provoked or otherwise. Things like belittling nicknames and personal insults would count, or "I never liked him anyway" type statements.

As this might be somewhat subjective, I won't trade.

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@VandelayIndustries Maybe same story as:

  • Trump versus Bannon

  • Boris Johnson versus Dominic Cummings

The goal oriented folks get kicked out.

this market reminds me of when i stalked my college ex for one year straight hoping to see her miserable and dumped and instead she just got hotter and happier and ended up marrying the new guy. buckle up libs :(

bought Ṁ50 YES

This must irritate Trump and his base I would think? (Conditional on this not being fake, you never know.) Added 50M to my YES bet.

@uair01 I'm not trying to spam here. I just want to make a note for myself, for later, to see if my premonitions were correct:

TIM DILLON: “I don’t think anyone is going to get one over on Trump. Trump has instinct that you can only have when you’re a casino magnate born in Queens. If the tech community believes they can get one over on Trump, I don’t think Trump will allow that to happen, he doesn’t let himself be used in that manner.” “I think this is becoming the first big rift. People are starting to question whether the love of Trump and his policies is genuine in tech or are they trying to launder their ideas through the MAGA movement?”

@uair01 I don't think Trump has a problem with that.

"You graduate from a college, I think you should get automatically as part of your diploma a green card to be able to stay in this country," Trump said, "and that includes junior colleges too."

https://www.investors.com/news/immigration-policy-trump-harris-us-economic-impact/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

@elf Thanks! Nice to have a discussion that may shift my priors 😂

lol he just posted this:

Seems as if this was meant to be a private message to Elon?

@elf I guess one of the advantages to not being extravagantly wealthy is that I don't have to and aren't expected to kiss any goddamn rings.

@elf a truly heartwarming tweet😌

Maybe his base will shut up about Bill Gates microchipping everyone with a vaccine now.

Unfortunately they are correct that Bill Gates traveled to Epstein Island.

2 traders bought Ṁ850 NO

@Blomfilter He has no charisma. Trump has actual control of the government and plenty of charisma. Elon sucking up is no surprise. 250 USD million won’t buy Trump. I wonder what can Musk do, if anything, to keep Trump’s favor.

@JaimeSantaCruz he’ll not keep his favour forever, but a year from the election I’d say there’s a very good chance he will.

The hand-in-hand coordination to torpedo the initial stop gap bill showed that Trump has supreme control and Elon is doing his “DOGE” bit (the whole thing kind of looked like set-up to me). I reckon we are in for a long year of seeing this kind of coordination between the both of them.

Bloomberg: Trump Says Talk That He’s Ceded Presidency to Musk Is a ‘Hoax’

  • “No, he’s not taking the presidency,” Trump told a conservative audience in Phoenix, addressing growing complaints about the outsized role the Tesla boss has already had in his incoming administration.

  • “You know, they’re on a new kick,” he said. “All the different hoaxes. The new one is that President Trump has ceded the presidency to Elon Musk. No, no, that’s not happening.”

  • “Isn’t it nice to have smart people we can rely on? Don’t we want that?” Trump asked a gathering of the conservative youth group Turning Point USA.

  • “But no, he’s not going to be president, that I can tell you,” Trump said. “And I’m safe. You know why? He can’t be. He wasn’t born in this country. Ha ha ha."


bought Ṁ50 YES from 48% to 51%

@vitamind it's starting to show. Only the beginning

My friend’s cousin’s brother’s mom is sending this last night from the Mar-A-Lago. I said I am not so interested but maybe you guys can see the truth of what is going on, it is too important to hide such images.

bought Ṁ69 NO from 46% to 43%
bought Ṁ50 YES

@CryptoNeoLiberalist what about your dad? I thought he works in the US govt, really curious what he has to say

WAIT I thought you were Fred Bush nevermind

@Conflux My dad doesn't have the insight or instincts like this, his son. I am much more of the in the know.

This has been roughly the method by which I see this question going Yes

@Marnix I hate to glaze Trump so shamelessly but nobody in history faced more negative press than he did. If anything he liked it?

He is a narcissist, sure, but he is the exact opposite of insecure.

@Shai I'm not super sure about that — I remember SNL really getting to him during his first presidency, and him being REALLY mad at Fox for calling Arizona in 2020. Plus, he's also been kind of obsessed with accusations of him doing Putin's bidding for about 7-8 years. I feel like enough coverage of Trump as Elon Sycophant (ESPECIALLY if an ally abandons him and starts saying it) could certainly drive a wedge.

@Shai narcisists are PROFOUNDLY insecure.

@JaimeSantaCruz I don't see how anyone insecure could emotionally survive what Trump went through.

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