Will Musk and Trump fall out before the following dates (either unambiguously insults the other 3 times)
Plus
39
Ṁ64462028
4%
Inauguration day
15%
2025 Jul 1st
25%
2026 Jan 1st
34%
2027 Jan 1st
38%
2028 Jan 1st
42%
2028 Election day
21%
Not before any of these.
Will the either of them unambiguously insult the other. The insult must be attempting to insult (as opposed to sarcasm etc). Both insulting the other twice doesn't count.
Resolves to the date of the third insult.
Insults according to credible sources.
Cannot be "he can be an idiot but [positive statement]"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
47% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
58% chance
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
44% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a falling out and start publicly criticizing one another by 2028
82% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration?
8% chance
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
47% chance
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
30% chance
Public falling out between Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy by the end of 2026?
58% chance
What month will Trump kick Elon Musk out of his inner circle?