This market resolves YES if Donald Trump, upon taking office as President in 2025, issues an executive order or similar directive banning transgender individuals from serving in the US military within his first 24 hours as president. Market resolves NO if no such ban is instituted within the first 24 hours.
Resolution criteria: Official White House announcements, executive orders, or Department of Defense directives issued within the first 24 hours of Trump taking office.
Sources: https://www.thepinknews.com/2024/11/25/donald-trump-transgender-military/ https://economictimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-plans-deadly-move-against-transgenders-serving-in-the-us-military-on-first-day-of-his-office-check-details/articleshow/115656318.cms
1,000
3.00Trump expressed intention to do this on his first day, https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20241223-trump-vows-to-stop-transgender-lunacy-as-a-top-priority
Another article about this: https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-reported-transgender-military-plan-called-out-charity-1991052
@CraigDemel feeling some strong indications that the leak was a trial balloon from this article ngl