Resolution criteria:
This question resolves yes if Donald J. Trump suggests jokingly or seriously himself as the next pope (after Francis). Speeches, interview or a post on social media qualify.
Resolves 4 weeks after a new pope is announced.
I will not trade in this market to stay objective.
Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Verified Sources Update:
Only evidence from verified sources (e.g., official announcements, verified social media accounts) will be considered in determining whether Trump has suggested himself as the next pope.
This applies to all qualifying evidence such as speeches, interviews, or social media posts.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,240 | |
2 | Ṁ1,087 | |
3 | Ṁ941 | |
4 | Ṁ337 | |
5 | Ṁ334 |
@TheAllMemeingEye the fact that Manifold even had a market on this speaks to the immense greatness of this platform to me 🤣
@SimoneRomeo Trump's in the news for ridiculous statements all the time, this one was not that far fetched when pope Francis passed away. 😅
I know you're not supposed to say the market was foreseeably wrong if you didn't see it in advance and place a bet... but even taking hindsight bias into account, come on, guys. this is Donald Trump we're talking about. how could he not suggest that.
https://news.sky.com/video/donald-trump-jokes-he-should-be-selected-as-new-pontiff-13358342
As per multiple news sources as well. Resolves YES
@shankypanky I'm fully expecting Trump to say something like this, but to resolve the question I will only look at verified sources 😉
@tobiasscheuer lol I know, it's just a meme! I thought it was funny bc of this market that's all 😅