Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ2892026
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
If it is still working, resolves Yes.
If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
No if those questions permanently stop working.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
42% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
82% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
90% chance
Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?
72% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
58% chance
Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
How well will I (@draaglom) forecast on Metaculus in 2025? (Peer accuracy leaderboard)
Will there be substantive issues with Safe AI’s claim to forecast better than the Metaculus crowd, found before 2025?
80% chance
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
34% chance