[Trump-isms Megamarket] Which exact words/phrases will Donald Trump say during his inauguration address?
➕
Plus
88
Ṁ21k
Jan 20
95%
"Thank you"
95%
“Make America Great Again”
85%
“Win” or “Winning”
83%
"America First"
69%
“Tariff(s)”
61%
“Obama”
60%
"President Biden"
55%
"Hate us"
54%
"Middle Class"
54%
“Billions and billions”
54%
"Our beautiful country"
54%
"Future"
53%
"Emergency"
50%
"Inflation"
48%
"News"
48%
"Ivanka" or "Melania"
46%
"Gangs"
45%
Ukraine
43%
“Crowd”
42%
"Destiny"

These options resolve YES if Donald Trump says the exact sequence of words during his 2025 inauguration address/speech.

  • You can add your own options, but note: (1) I will be strict with resolutions & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.

  • Resolution may take a few days as I'd like to reference the transcript.

  • This market will close before the inauguration to return liquidity to submitters.

  • For reference, here is the transcript for Trump’s 2016 inauguration address

Resolution rules:

  • Needs to be exact same words (in order): "laughing at all of us" does not count for "laughing at us".

  • Needs to match tense & pluralization: "winner", "won", or "winnings" do not count for "winning", and "Project 2025's ideas" doesn't count for "Project 2025".

  • However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions also count as the expanded words ("what's" is equivalent to "what is").

  • An abbreviation is its own word: "MAGA" does not match "Make America Great Again", "LGBT" does not match "LGBTQ".

  • Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" matches "January sixth".

  • To add flexibility to an answer, use parentheses or an "or". So " 'Free lunch(es)' or 'school lunch(es)' " matches "free lunches", "school lunch", & etc.

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bought Ṁ300 NO

Why would he mention Obama?

@FergusArgyll In the last inauguration address he mentioned attending previous presidents by name.

Some dogwhistle like “secure,” “future,” and “children” in the same sentence

"Four score and seven years ago " -- no, won't add it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

See market for anything Trump says in Year 1 here: https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

bought Ṁ5 NO

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