Israel ceases military operations against Iran before July 13, 2025? | Manifold

Israel ceases military operations against Iran before July 13, 2025?

21

Ṁ557

Jul 13

58%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market predicts whether Israel will halt its military operations against Iran before July 13, 2025. The resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government or credible news reports confirming a cessation of military activities. Given the recent intensification of hostilities, this market offers insight into potential de-escalation timelines.

Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the event of a formal ceasefire where Israel continues with occasional bombing, this market will resolve to YES.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Israel-Iran Conflict

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

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What if Israel reaches a ceasfire but occasionally continue to bomb like they are doing with Lebanon?

@Samaritan It doesn't appears to be a likely outcome, but let's say that it is still YES.

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