Will the 2025 average carbon price of the regulated carbon market in Europe exceed €100/t CO2?
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37%
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Based on EU carbon permits: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/carbon
Update 2025-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To determine the 2025 average carbon price:
If not clear from visual inspection, the average will be calculated using a minimum of daily increments from the data source (https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/carbon).
If the result is not clear after this calculation, the market will resolve as 50/50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JBSIyg2 thanks for asking. If the market average cannot easily be determined to be below 100€ /t upon visual inspection, I'll subscribe to a free market trial and download the raw CSV file and average over a minimum of daily increments. If the result is not clear at that point, I'll mark the resolution as 50/50
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