Will wind power account for more than 25% of the EU’s electricity production by 2025?
Will wind power account for more than 25% of the EU’s electricity production by 2025?
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This market is about the role of wind power in the EU’s energy transition. According to Eurostat, wind power accounted for 19.0% of the EU’s net electricity generation in 2021. Wind power was the second largest source of renewable electricity in the EU, after hydro power (20.3%).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if wind power accounts for more than 25% of the EU’s net electricity generation by 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The outcome will be determined by the data from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
The source is Eurostat’s website, where the data on electricity production from wind power and total electricity production for the EU-27 can be found.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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