Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
17
Ṁ6794
2027
32%
chance

By January 1st, 2027, will there be a power blackout with at least 10 million person-hours of disruption for U.S. residents (e.g. 1 million people for 10 hours), caused by a cyberwarfare attack? (AI enabled or otherwise)

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 32% order

How will attribution be resolved? Must a U.S. federal agency attribute to the blackout to a cyberattack? What if only a foreign/nonstate actor claims responsibility but the U.S. claims a different cause of the blackout?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules