Conditional on who wins the democratic nomination will tumbles ever be late to pay back a loan
Plus
27
Ṁ12kFeb 1
0.5%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
0.2%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late
92%
Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
8%
Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late
Resolves based on the main markets on these two topics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@deagol Apologies, I misunderstood the market. I'd just resolved one about whether he'd be late on a loan in 2024, so I incorrectly assumed this was the same. Hope the brief resolution didn't mess things up too much.
@mods creator >1mo inactive. Title and answers state "ever/never" and descriptions refers to another market that resolves at the end of this month (and I guess it could extend if @Tumbles takes on new loans), so could this be reopened until then? Thanks.
opened a Ṁ6,969 YES at 90% order
Good market! Adding it to the Tumbles Financial Complex dashboard!
Related: /Tumbles/during-which-month-will-tumbles-be
Related: /bluefrog/depending-on-the-2024-potus-electio
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