Big Tech is censoring free speech about Josh Shapiro's height so I am offering a 1000 mana bounty to the first person to give authoritative proof/info about this man's height. If it's deductive, it doesn't need to be exact, but i need to believe it's very close. This is highly important for this market as we saw with DeSantis and bootgate

Where is the Biden option?

@EoinTyrrell It's currently sitting at 0.1%, you might have to expand to see it.

@BoltonBailey to be clear, I was joking.

@NGK

Is there a name for this effect where people will take long enough odds no matter how nonsensical?

@LiamZ ooh, I could get M10,140 for an investment of just M1! I'll take the bet!

@LiamZ the name is "They Had Shares in Other and Didn't Sell Before The Value Went to Zero"

@benshindel that makes sense. Is the only way to see that to go back into logs and check for the absence of buying the option, yet holding it?

@LiamZ yeah i have just had shares in “other” for a long time

@ZaneMiller someone else bought up Feinstein and I sold my shares for M10. told you it was a good investment.

So the 2-3 candidates who could plausibly connect with black voters in the south and earn Jim Clyburn's endorsement are at 1.1% and 5% (and less than 1%) while hopeless white boys hog all the mana. Never change, Manifold. Anyway, here's a similar market to lose more mana in

@dlin007 brother, don't blame Manifold for this. If you have information others don't, go dump some mana.

@dlin007 The problem is people who cling on to other political person endorsements.

Nobody gives af about some 84 yr old guys endorsement.

Nobody in the grand scheme of things gives af about "connecting with black voters", how about "connecting with all voters".

@ScipioFabius guy is on literally the most left leaning prediction site and is calling out his own party 😆 🤣 typical Dems.

@DylanSlagh Done with her. She can “eye another White House run” all she wants but we’re not doing that again. Already fatigued from it.

We're not going back, so to speak.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/dec/16/kamala-harris-2028-election-president-governor just saying man

Democrats eye Harris 2028 presidential run as they devise political comeback

Party aides are confident in US vice-president’s ability to bounce back, including a bid for California governor

@fakebaechallenge 🤣

@fakebaechallenge yeah and the media spent years hyping up Ron DeSantis as a challenger to Trump for 2024. It’s noise.

@traders A similar market is here:

More senators
Adam Schiff
Alex Padilla
Kirsten Gillibrand

I would've thought she'd be closer to 15-20 at this point

.

maximum chaos