
How dramatic is Manifold? High percentage is high drama, low percentage is low drama, based on vibes. This market will never resolve.
Should represent the current level of drama, and I will distribute mana bonuses to users who update it in a direction that seems correct.
You can set up 1 mana limit orders to get notified when drama happens!
The market is unranked and unsubsidized.
I reserve the right to resolve N/A if this market structure winds up being dumb, but I don’t expect to.
the pivot has begun pivoting and many of the Discord channels have been full of frantic questions and speculation and complaints again, nonstop since mid-afternoon 😅 feels notably more dramatic today
Are we not at at least 90% drama right now? Would someone have to get arrested for this to go above 95?
Participants in this market are delusional. The entire mana economy is being upended and there is some kind of mysterious announcement coming 'soon' and it's only 44%!!??!?!
I sure hope people are not taking out their realized gains and P R O F I T I N G on the chaos instead of giving a true picture of your drama rating.
I was going to bump this a few hours ago for Austin leaving but I haven't seen a lot of chaos so I'm actually going to bump it down.
This is all a ruse so I can buy it up to like 85 in a couple days.
(It feels very un-dramatic but only because all the air has been let out and everyone is taking a breather, waiting for the coming storm.)
wait i don’t get it
so now that i’ve made the probability lower, does this mean that others will profit if they also buy no?
@AbhinavSrinivas This market is not really designed for profit and the only way it will ever resolve is N/A.
/jacksonpolack/will-anyone-manage-to-get-openai-so-06adaa9f20c8
This market is going to be hilarious and it's trading at 50%. Bought some Yes (in this one...)