praying for pliny to do something here to save my shares

https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1866274473478947188?t=ZyGipLnxhxdrlZ01UDnCcQ&s=19

@niv isn't this already explicit

Specifically, with the main focus of the video on an identifiable sexual act.

Pretty sure that doesn't count as an identifiable sexual act

@Bayesian ah, got it

@Bayesian also I'm not entirely sure but I'm pretty sure even if it was an idenifiable act it wouldn't count because the guy is a red teamer

@Gameknight but did he do it during pre-deployment red teaming or with the public version?

@derpy No idea. I assume it's with the public version, because otherwise it would have been immediately reported and fixed internally. Maybe he's jailbreaking public versions as a hobby while redteaming as a job?

does it count if it's replicable 1 time out of 100, like it consistently happens sometimes but rarely?

They've had so much time to work on safety, surely the probability is lower now than it was in March when we thought it would come out ~soon

@CDBiddulph I have a sneaky suspicion they plan to license it to companies, without giving public access to it.

This market closes this week, please extend

why would we extend this seems like the answer is NO

It's not released; the general public has no way to use it.

luma labs' dream machine's filter was bypassed the day after release, though the results are,, questionable [cw: nudity, blood] https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1801455243089035699

i have weak priors on this. i think it is possible sora 1 will never be made generally available but will only be sold to entertainment companies.

it probably will not be released before the election in any event? and a lot of red teaming will be done on it beforehand?

Arb: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/what-will-be-true-of-openais-sora-m

Can't wait for the video of someone growing extra penises that blink out of existence seconds later

Through trial and error people have gotten Bing Image Creator (which is roughly if not exactly equivalent to DALLE-3) to generate porn, so I'm pretty confident someone will figure it out with Sora.

For clarity, pornography between human-like videogame characters with their secondary sexual characteristics emphasized to physically impossible superstimulous level counts, I assume?

I imagine it might be easier to get sora to produce porn of this type the further it departs from something that looks like an actual person who could exist in physical reality.

Does it have to be a sexual act between humans?

It has to be the kind of thing humans would clearly see as pornography. So, something that's clearly 'furry porn' would be a YES, but 'two deer humping in a forest' would not be yes.

@jacksonpolack Ahhh, “I know it when I see it”