Who is Trump's Prigozhin?
Who is Trump's Prigozhin?
Basic
5
แน412029
8%
JD Vance
8%
Sean O'Brien
20%
Pete Hegseth
32%
No Similar Relationship
19%
Stephen Miller
13%
resolves to the poll at end of trump admin add your own suggestion
In considering who might serve a similar role for former U.S. President Donald Trump, one would look for an individual losely exhibiting the following traits:
Personal Loyalty: A trusted associate with a history of unwavering support for Trump.
Control Over a Paramilitary or Militant Organization: Leadership of a group capable of executing operations that align with Trump's interests, potentially outside traditional military structures.
Operational Autonomy with Tacit Approval: The ability to conduct activities independently, yet with implicit consent from higher authorities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 โ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 โ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
Who will be elected president in 2028?
Does AI love Trump? [READ DESCRIPTION]
14% chance
Will the S&P 500 close above 4,500 on July 31, 2025?
98% chance
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
48% chance
Will GrokAI publicly produce new extremist or hate-speech text before 11:59 PM UTC on August 1, 2025?
39% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
71% chance
Trump gives Elon a nickname by end of July?
13% chance
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
17% chance
Will a majority of tariffs Trump announces in letters in July go into effect for at least a day before September 8?
29% chance