Will rely on analysis like https://www.reddit.com/r/EndFPTP/comments/pb3m3t/adams_was_the_condorcet_winner/

if necessary will check the official results for confirmation.

Context: RCV (ranked choice voting) does not guarantee the Condorcet winner will be elected since it tends to favors candidates with lots of support rather than compromise candidates.

Specifically in the 2025 NYC Primary, it seems quite likely that the final 2 candidates will be Cuomo and Zohran who are generally considered the furthest Right and Left (or just most extreme/controversial) candidates in the primary.

There seems to be large factions of voters who want "Anyone but Cuomo" or "Anyone but Mamdani"

so the likely scenarios are

1. Cuomo wins and is preferred vs every other candidate (Condorcet Winner)

2. Cuomo wins but there was a candidate who was preferred over Cuomo but failed to reach the final round

3. Zohran wins but there was a candidate who was preferred over Zohran but failed to reach the final round

4. Zohran wins and is preferred vs every other candidate (Condorcet Winner)

Scenarios 2 and 3 can be further broken down into scenarios where a "compromise candidate" such as Lander was the Condorcet winner or others where no Condorcet winner exists.

Previous Elections:

• In the 2022 Alaska house election. Begich was the Condorcet winner but failed to advance to the final round over Palin.

• In the 2021 NYC Dem Primary, Eric Adams was the Condorcet winner

https://www.natesilver.net/p/can-anyone-beat-cuomo-and-is-it-zohran/comments