Clarification:
Pay attention to the requirement that each side must sustain 1000+ military fatalities. This measure excludes civilians.
Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve YES if, before January 1, 2026, credible sources (e.g., official governmental announcements, reputable international media, etc) report a military conflict involving both Israel and Iran resulting in at least 1,000 confirmed military deaths for each side.
Military deaths must include uniformed personnel, excluding civilian casualties or indirect deaths (e.g., deaths from economic disruption or secondary effects).
This market resolves NO if no such conflict meeting the criteria occurs by January 1, 2026.
1,000
3.00@ChrisMillsc5f7 I tend to agree. There has been talk of Israeli Commandos going into Fordow nuclear facility. That could cause a firefight.
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@nathanwei given syria and iraq separate both iran from israel I don't see how you can get to military looses at 1000 for each side.