Will I find someone to sponsor my trip to Manifest 2025?
Will I find someone to sponsor my trip to Manifest 2025?
4
Ṁ535Jun 5
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
Yes
47%
No
33%
Partially (more than $100)
In 2024 someone ended up offering me free accommodation. Will I find someone to sponsor my Manifest 2025 trip?
I am currently a paid pro forecaster for one forecasting organization.
Sponsorship worth a total of >$100 will resolve as ”partial”, less than that is ”no”.
Will resolve as yes if someone pays 50%+ of my flights or accommodation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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How much is required to count for partially? A dollar? A cent? I see some potential for very cheap market manipulation
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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