Which users will attend Manifest 2025?
91
Ṁ19k
2026
99.1%
99%
Rob Miles
99%
Conflux - @Conflux
99%
Carson Gale - @CarsonGale
99%
Nate Silver
99%
Dylan Matthews - @DylanMatthews
99%
Noah Smith (Noahpinion)
99%
David Shor
99%
Richard Hanania
99%
Razib Khan
99%
Noa Nabeshima - @NoaNabeshima
99%
Emmett Shear - @EmmettShear
99%
nik - @nikthink
99%
98.9%
Joe Carlsmith - @JoeCarlsmith
98%
Roon
98%
rachel @rachel
97%
Aaron Silverbook

Manifest 2025 is going to be in Berkeley from June 6th to June 8th!

A name resolves Yes if they attend, No if they don't attend, and N/A if I can't verify whether they attended or not. If Manifest 2025 does not occur by the end of 2025, everything will resolve N/A.

Let's try to keep it to people with Manifold accounts only for this market, to keep things plausible and to make resolution easier to verify.

If you want some insider info, check the Manifest Payments page to see who bought tickets last year.

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You can resolve me to Yes; was just physically present at kickoff.

Prime opportunity to troll the front page of https://manifest.is considering how illiquid these answers are

When many of the manifolders gather in the groupings big like this, it's usually either for sex, food or sometimes the gambling. This is the true way to futurarchy.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I'll report it if I see

it

bought Ṁ10 NO

I'm not coming to Manifest. You can resolve it no.

@redcathode not sure if these serve different purposes or if this was an unintentional duplicate - seems like the former, since all of the listings here are of the Firstname Lastname variety

@redcathode good catch. unfortunately looks like this market is a duplicate of Chris' - he made his in June last year.

@Gabrielle any alpha to share?

bought Ṁ30 YES

@ian I'm probably attending, and have asked for my Manifold mod ticket, but have yet to buy plane tickets to physically get there.

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