Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028?

Plus

48

Ṁ5210

2029

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Only must be charged with a federal crime. Resultant guilt or innocence is irrelevant. Charges must be laid on or after July 28, 2023. In effect, unknown charges that "come to light" after this date but were laid before this date do not count. Only new federal charges on or after July 28, 2023 and before or on December 31, 2028 are valid.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#‍ Celebrities

#Artificial Intelligence

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Why federal? (“Federal” isn’t a synonym of “serious”.)

What was the crime?

Dudes, deontological side constraints

Federal charges levied by the Galactic Federation settle as YES. As do federal charges by any national government. Charges laid in absentia if Yudkowsky is extradited to/granted asylum by any state entity, including GF, (a la Assange and Ecuador) settle as YES.

How does this resolve if the Galactic Federation requesting the extradition before the formal charges? 🛸

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is found to have performed prediction market fraud by the end of 2025

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is found to have performed prediction market fraud by the end of 2025

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules