Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Basic
19
Ṁ43982028
29%
24%
JD Vance
8%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Other candidate with Trump as their last name
3%
AOC
2%
Nikki Haley
2%
Kamala Harris
1.9%
Elizabeth Warren
1.5%
Ivanka Trump
1.5%
Ron DeSantis
1.4%
Tulsi Gabbard
1.2%
Joe Biden
1.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1.2%
Chris Christie
1.2%
Other Republican Politician
1.2%
Hillary Clinton
1.2%
Michael Bloomberg
1.2%
Barack Obama
1.2%
Bernie Sanders
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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