Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.
Fully autonomous (skin to skin) gallbladder surgery will be commonplace by 2074.
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Will advances in robotics, AI, medicine and the United States regulatory state allow for on demand, gallbladder surgery by the year 2074.
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Okay, the world in 50 years will be unrecognizable to us. I don't think that human surgeons will be a thing at all.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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