Who will be on the 2025 Time Person of the Year shortlist?
45
Ṁ12k
Dec 20
90%
Pope Leo XIV
76%
Donald Trump
64%
Zohran Mamdani
47%
Jensen Huang
42%
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Charlie Kirk
36%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
34%
Elon Musk
31%
Xi Jinping
26%
Sam Altman
21%
Mark Carney
21%
Gisèle Pelicot
20%
J.D. Vance
20%
Vladimir Putin
19%
Jerome Powell
18%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Larry Ellison
15%
Greta Thunberg
14%
Narendra Modi
12%
Demis Hassabis

In prior years, Time has released shortlists of individuals, groups, ideas, or objects that were in the running for that year's Time Person of the Year award. This question is only asking about individual human beings who appear on the 2025 shortlist by name.

To view prior year shortlists, follow this link, look under the "Runners-up" column, and click on [show]:
Wikipedia - Time Person of the Year, Person(s) of the Year

All options that appear on the shortlist will resolve YES as soon as possible after the shortlist is published.
If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve NO. The last two years when Time did not release a shortlist were in 2021 and 2005.


When adding names, please use a formal style to match. Timely good faith edits to new options are permitted. Users who add options that ultimately resolve YES will receive a prize of no less than Ṁ100.

The market creator shall not trade on this question so long as that user has the ability to resolve it.

  • Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Winning Person of the Year does NOT automatically count as being on the shortlist. Only individuals explicitly named on the published shortlist will resolve YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 NO

If Someone wins, Does that count as them being on shortlist too?

@JackP No, this is only concerning the shortlist, not the winner. That being said, I don't remember the last time the Person of the Year wasn't on the shortlist as well.

I traded on this market forgetting that I said that I wouldn't in the description. I won't trade in this market again. If this becomes a problem at market resolution, then I will ask a moderator to resolve if necessary.

Somebody should add Charlie Kirk

bought Ṁ100 NO
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules