If Trump wins in 2024, will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029?
Plus
14
Ṁ13222029
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-07-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that they believe real money political prediction markets are already legal and has proposed resolving the market to YES based on the current situation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@jacksonpolack Polymarket also being allowed seems a very strong update in favor of yes.
@jacksonpolack should this resolve yes? Kalshi is legal, in favor with the admin, etc.
Related questions
Related questions
Will anyone in the US be prosecuted for betting in an illegal prediction market before 2026?
10% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Real money political prediction markets will be legal in the US for a month before 2030
80% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029 conditional on who wins the presidential election?
Will Trump legalize prediction markets?
83% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in Singapore before the end of 2025?
9% chance
When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
38% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
49% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
71% chance