What is your personal prior for Manifold still being around in 2030?
26
May 25
<20%
20-40%
40-60%
60-80%
>80%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
65% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
43% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
78% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
55% chance
At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?
80% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
85% chance
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
52% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
29% chance