Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ1162026
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if ALL of these conditions are fulfilled:
I place at least 48 trades in 2025
I place at least 8 trades in December 2025
I resolve this question YES within 14 days of it closing
If not, resolving this market NO will probably be on the mods.
In case of any edge cases, all time periods refer to the time in Central Time (Chicago's time zone).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Robincvgr The last condition seems like it could be a conflict of interest if you held 'NO' shares. Will you only be holding 'YES'?
Related questions
Related questions
Which Manifold users with a 2023 join date will be active in 2025?
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
55% chance
Will I still be active on Manifold a year after the Great Pivot?
88% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
52% chance
Will I have more followers on Manifold than Twitter by end of 2025?
32% chance
Will I work at Manifold in 2024?
1% chance
Will I be banned at least once on Manifold before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Do you think you’ll still be using Manifold this time next year (January 2025)?
POLL