If Tadej Pogacar starts at 2025 Paris-Roubaix, will he win?
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Ṁ3894resolved Apr 13
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NO1D
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Resolves NA if he does not participate.
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bought Ṁ50 NO22d
pog is obviously incredible and maybe i'm too small-minded but the scenario where he wins roubaix seems extremely hard to put together, would love to be proven wrong
sold Ṁ41 NO22d
@RedzoneITG I’m glad I bought at 99 (wtf) but the price is a little low now. It’s all good. Thanks.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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