Will Trump pardon Diddy?
Basic
26
Ṁ4318
2029
14%
chance

Background

Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his presidency, the circumstances surrounding Diddy's case are notably different.

Context

  • Diddy has been publicly critical of Trump in the past and opposed his presidency

  • Gene Deal, Diddy's former bodyguard, has indicated that Trump was displeased with Diddy's opposition

  • The serious nature of the allegations against Diddy differs from previous Trump pardons in the music industry

  • Trump would need to win the 2024 presidential election to have pardon power

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Sean "Diddy" Combs for any federal charges by January 20, 2029 (the end of the next presidential term). It will resolve to NO if:

  • Trump does not become president

  • Trump becomes president but does not pardon Diddy

  • Diddy is not charged with federal crimes

Things to Consider

  • The severity and nature of any formal charges that may be filed

  • The outcome of the 2024 presidential election

  • Trump's historical pattern of pardons and personal relationships

  • The ongoing federal investigation's findings and timeline

#Trump's Second Term
#Republican Party
#Pardon Markets
#Trump indictment(s)
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1mo

Suge Knight seems to think so:
https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/5299556-donald-trump-suge-knight-sean-combs-pardon/

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