Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
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GPT-5 with scaffolding or access to tools counts as long as GPT-5 is making real decisions.

Resolves No if GPT-5 doesn’t score Bronze or higher, or if it does not does not exist by then, or nobody makes an IMO attempt by the end of August 2025

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - o3 or future o series models do not count as GPT-5 for this question. Models called GPT-4x would not count. If OpenAI abandons the GPT-X naming scheme and comes out with a new flagship model to replace GPT-4 that's not part of the o series, that counts.

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o3 or future o series models do not count as GPT-5 for this question. GPT-4x would not count. If OpenAI abandons the GPT-X naming scheme and comes out with a new flagship model to replace GPT-4 that's not part of the o series, that counts.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@ahalekelly If gpt5 can use reasoning models like it uses search or other features, so you can get it to solve the imo through o3, does it count?

@Bayesian hmm no, since it wouldn't be GPT-5 doing the solving

Is it fine if it’s a math-specialized version of GPT-5 (involving math-specific post training consisting of, say, <5% of pretraining compute)?

Yeah that sounds reasonable

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