
This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:
If either of these resolve YES, and the latter resolves YES, this resolves YES. If the first resolves YES and the second resolves NO, this resolves NO. If both resolve NO, this resolves N/A. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.
Apr 29, 9:01pm: Conditional on AI getting at least Bronze on the IMO, will it get Gold by 2025? → Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the resolution criteria in response to user confusion.
The intention is that if the market does not resolve N/A (which happens if the condition of an AI getting at least Bronze is not met), then this market's YES/NO outcome will be determined by the resolution of the linked market about an AI getting Gold.
@SimonWestlake Yeah, weird, I sort of wonder if I added an embed with multiple questions and the way those question were rendered got changed at some point. The intention is that, if the question isn't resolving N/A, then it resolves according to the market about "Gold".