Manifold's favorite Manifest 2025 session?
23
Ṁ8012Jun 24
91%
Scott Alexander: Forecasting Transformative AI Using The Book Of Revelation
1.5%
Allison Duettmann- Decentralized AI
1.3%Other
1.0%
Joe carlsmith model welfare talk
Resolves to a poll, created after market close, with the listed options (excluding "other") ranked in order by their final probability.
The poll will run for one week, and ties resolve proportionally.
Add your own options—they should be listed as a session on the Manifest schedule (i.e. not just "a fun thing that happened"), although you can tweak the official title to make it more clear if you'd like.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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wait scratch that, 50% (edit: 55% limit order now for 1 hour)