Major Houthi attack on Saudi oil facility occurs before April 30, 2025
Major Houthi attack on Saudi oil facility occurs before April 30, 2025
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Market resolves YES if Houthi forces conduct a significant attack (causing damage or disruption) on any Saudi oil facility. Resolution based on Saudi Aramco statements and international media reports.
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The linked source seems to only be covering several years ago, unless there really was a sudden end to attacks after 2019? What would you say is the most recent attack that would count?
Not sure whether it was most recent, but it definitely would count and was after 2019.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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