Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? | Manifold

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Plus

19

Ṁ1316

2031

21%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the Saudi State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.

Different years:

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w (this question)

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f

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#Nuclear Weapons

#Nuclear Proliferation

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