Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030
Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030
Plus
42
Ṁ16352031
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current limit is 100ml: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/security-screening/liquids-rule
Will the TSA more than double this?
Resolves YES if the limit is removed entirely, or the TSA is disbanded, or airport security no longer involves this style of screening
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
When will the TSA update their security regulations to permit carrying liquid bottles over 300ml on commercial flights ?
Will the TSA allow unlimited sticks of butter on flights in the USA before 2035?
21% chance
Will TSA airport security checks still require people to take their shoes off in 2030?
31% chance
Commercial supersonic flights by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will a bag of rocks fall out of an airplane by 2030?
26% chance
Before 2030, will any* country require that most people arriving by plane must take blood tests?
22% chance
Will US or Canadian flights stop making me put away my laptop during takeoff and landing before 2030?
18% chance
Will a fully adult only airline exist by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will a supersonic plane fly commercial passengers by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a fully autonomous commercial airline flight before 2030
12% chance