Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?

Basic

Ṁ8081

2033

48%

Other

11%

J.D. Vance

Gavin Newsom

Tulsi Gabbard

Zohran Mamdani

Gretchen Whitmer

Pete Buttigieg

Nikki Haley

Kamala Harris

Cory Booker

J. B. Pritzker

1.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

1.5%

Ron DeSantis

1.3%

Jon Ossoff

1.2%

No one

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2032 United States presidential election.

If no presidential election is held in the United States in 2032, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Future US Presidents

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answered4d

Zohran Mamdani

@PoliticalEconomyPK He was born in Uganda. He can't run for president unless something massively changes

@Marnix guess we'll have to see then

bought Ṁ30 Other YES

Is it not possible to resolve the [will resolve NO] entries early? It feels like they should totally make that possible if it isn't already possible for this kind of market

@PaintspotInfez Sadly, it's currently impossible to do this. Hopefully mods will add it soon. This market gives it a 29% chance to be implemented by the end of March, so we can hope 🤞

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