Will Trump sign a bill by the end of 2025 with a total cost of at least $N over 10 years according to the CBO?
7
Ṁ2159
Dec 31
95%
N = $1 trillion
50%
N = $2 trillion
14%
N = $3 trillion

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Ṁ1,000
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opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 50% order

For reference, the current bill is scored by the CBO as costing $2.4 trillion: https://apnews.com/article/cbo-deficits-tax-cuts-trumps-big-beautiful-bill-64d7de49aef62ba07b7f6f45c1ca73d1

So if it passes in its current form, $1 trillion and $2 trillion would resolve YES.

I expect the cost to be reduced substantially to satisfy the budget hawks on the Republican side, so I've put some NO limit orders on $2 trillion.

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