Will America bomb Iran in 2025?
23%
chance

Trump Warns Iran of Bombing Without Nuclear Deal

President Trump has warned Iran of severe consequences, including an unprecedented bombing campaign, if they do not agree to a nuclear deal. This statement follows Iran's rejection of direct negotiations with the United States. The US is currently pressuring Iran through diplomatic channels, with the UAE and Oman offering to mediate indirect talks. The situation remains tense as both countries navigate the complexities of the nuclear agreement.

Will America bomb Iran before 2026? Any amount of bombs being dropped resolves YES, even a single missel strike.

  • Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES:

    • It will count if America causes any bombs to go off in Iran. This is not restricted to bombs/missiles fired directly from American aircraft.

    • America must take credit for the action.

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They must be American bombs/missiles fired from American aircraft?

@DanielFox9fff The description is loose so I'd say any way America causes any bombs to go off would count. America would need to take credit.

boughtṀ500YES
bought Ṁ50 NO

I don't think this market would rely on a judgment call, so I will be placing bets.

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