NFL Week 16 - Prop Bets
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Plus
27
Ṁ50k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Resolved
YES
Fake Punt Attempt
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Resolved
YES
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Resolved
YES
Pick Six
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Resolved
YES
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Resolved
YES
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Resolved
YES
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Resolved
YES
Will a championship belt change teams (https://shorturl.at/2bXlq) (https://shorturl.at/XwDBj)
Resolved
YES
LA teams finish with a better record than NY teams
Resolved
YES
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Resolved
YES
A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Sixteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Add your own props related to Week Sixteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Sixteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week 16 Props:

Other Week 16 Markets

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bought Ṁ250 NO

@StopPunting this can resolve NO -- the number was 15

bought Ṁ911 YES

Last play of 1st half, Patriots vs Bills

bought Ṁ200 YES

@StopPunting this can resolve YES -- Rams vs. Jets -- Rams missed 1XP, Jets missed 1XP and 1FG

@StopPunting this can resolve YES -- 4 successes (chargers, titans, titans, commanders) and 2 failures (chargers, raiders)

@StopPunting this can resolve NO

bought Ṁ300 NO

@StopPunting this can resolve NO

bought Ṁ200 YES

@StopPunting Seahawks in the 4th quarter

@StopPunting Cardinals FG

bought Ṁ750 YES

@StopPunting Saquon Barkley

  • Gus Edwards

  • Tyjae Spears

  • De'Von Achane

  • Jerome Ford

  • Alexander Mattison

  • Ezekiel Elliott

bought Ṁ894 YES

Jayden Daniels Washington 5 passing TDs & 2 interceptions
does both 4TD
and 2 turnovers and 4TDs

bought Ṁ538 YES

@StopPunting commanders over the eagles, game winning drive started at 1:46 left

bought Ṁ899 YES

Vikings/Seahawks just started while Eagles/Commanders and Cards/Panthers are still going.

bought Ṁ494 YES

@StopPunting Lions 27 in the first half

bought Ṁ644 YES

Steelers 17 Ravens 34 so GCD 17 which is >8

@ChristopherRandles is that the highest GCD so far this season?

@DanielTilkin Vikings v falcon 8 Dec 2024 42-21 beats it. Maybe others?

All time record GCD from 1964 43-43 is I suggest rather hard to beat.
Without ties 56-28 just once in 1949 AFAICS

@ChristopherRandles true, a tie is the easiest way to do it.

@DanielTilkin Unless 73-0 is record?

@ChristopherRandles hmm, would 0-0 be infinite?

@DanielTilkin Hmm., yes but it seems you shouldn't do GCD with all 0s:

About

Description

In mathematics, the greatest common divisor, also known as greatest common factor, of two or more integers, which are not all zero, is the largest positive integer that divides each of the integers. For two integers x, y, the greatest common divisor of x and y is denoted.


That does seems to allow 0 as long as there is also a different integer so 73-0 seems to be the record.

Spreads are up too!

pre-Chiefs/Steelers game, just in case Russell Wilson goes off for 15 TDs of course

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