Will Trump use the US military to assist in carrying out mass deportations in 2025
Will Trump use the US military to assist in carrying out mass deportations in 2025
Basic
14
Ṁ5132026
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/18/trump-administration-transition/ - Trump says that this is his plan
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
2% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
51% chance
Will the US deport an American citizen before 2029?
79% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
90% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
34% chance
Will Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
27% chance
If Trump wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?
94% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
15% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a natural born US citizen by the end of his second term?
63% chance
Total number of deportations under Donald Trump by June 30, 2025