Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and demonstrated to be a superconductor before January 1st 2032.
Questions with the same criteria:
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2025?NO
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?6%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?9%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?9%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?10%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2030?14%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?17%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?17% (this question)
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?19%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?25%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?32%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?34%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?39%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?49%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?52%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?57%
Other questions for 2032:
Will we get AGI before 2032?68%
Will we get ASI before 2032?40%
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2032?77%
Will we discover alien life before 2032?14%
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2032?17%
Will a human walk on Mars before 2032?15%
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2032?70%
Will AI extend English before 2032?61%
Discovery of matter outside our 3D space before 2032?21%
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?13%
Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?5%
Other reference points for room temperature superconductors:
Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?83%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?55%
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?36%
Room Temperature is defined as between 0 and 30 centigrade. Ambient Pressure is defined as between 0.5 and 2 atmospheres.
Image credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Meissner_effect.ogv
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What is this?
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