Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2040.

Questions with the same criteria:

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2025?NO‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?4%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?5%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?8%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?10%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2030?15%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?19%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?25%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?28%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?28%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?32%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?42%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?51%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?54%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?55%‌ (this question)

Other questions for 2040:

Will we get AGI before 2040?79%‌

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?55%‌

Will we discover alien life before 2040?23%‌

Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?64%‌

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?93%‌

Other reference points for room temperature superconductors:

Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?84%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?59%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?36%‌

Room Temperature is defined as between 0 and 30 centigrade. Ambient Pressure is defined as between 0.5 and 2 atmospheres.

Image credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Meissner_effect.ogv