Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
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Plus
126
Ṁ30k
2026
96%
Migrants
95%
Mainstream Media
95%
LQBTQ / Trans People
94%
Ann Selzer
90%
Jack Smith
89%
January 6th Committee
86%
Greenland
83%
Liz Cheney
82%
The Bidens (Joe, Ashley, Jill, and/or Hunter Biden)
77%
Letitia James
75%
Denmark
72%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
70%
Fluoride
61%
Gen. Mark Milley
60%
Joe Biden
50%
Anthony Fauci
50%
Nancy Pelosi
50%
John Kelly
42%
Michael Cohen
37%
Vaccine mandates

Between inauguration day and the end of the year.

‘Go after’ in the sense of making their lives difficult in some public way, causing them financial hardship, etc.. In most cases, a post or something spoken during an interview only will not count, will have to be accompanied by some specific action. I will be the final judge of any edge-cases but will read any sources or arguments made in the comments.

Let’s see where this goes. N/As on added items that are ridiculously broad or way too difficult to prove.

If not elected, not elected resolves yes, everything else no immediately after election results.

  • Update 2025-02-01 (PST): 'Going after someone' includes actions taken against loyalists, such as Liz Cheney & Jan 6 Committee. (AI summary of creator comment)

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All the predictive power of Manifold brought to bear, and yet no one thought to put fucking "Greenland" on their bingo card?

We should have at least seen Canada coming. I mean, who hasn't watch South Park?

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@Predictor this slays on so many levels

bought Ṁ25 YES

Can you say a bit more about what counts as "Trump going after someone" vs. his loyalists? I'm inclined to count the second - seems more in line with the spirit of the question?

E.g. Liz Cheney & Jan 6 Committee

https://www.yahoo.com/news/key-republican-calls-criminal-probe-192154967.html?guccounter=1

@Siebe I think so, yes.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Robincvgr I feel like this would also be a yes for Mainstream Media, wouldn't it?

@CryptoNeoLiberalist does witholding aid count?

@jBosc Yes, if it fucks with the efforts of Ukraine in this war it will be a yes resolution.

Created a version of this for his entire presidency:

@10thOfficial Thanks, but most of these are happening in 2025 anyway.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I voted here that he will go after "mainstream media".

I have a specific bet for that here:

Will President Trump initiate lawsuits against the "deep state" and the "censorship conspiracy" in 2025? | Manifold

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I hope I am not on the list of the UNAMERICAN ACTIVITIES after failing of the No Nut November! Oh no!!!

reposted

Retribution?

bought Ṁ12 NO

@traders There's more free mana here - everything resolves NO rather than N/A if Trump loses the election.

bought Ṁ500 NO
reposted

This texting is coming through from the Trump to ME this morning. You all are thinking this is the joke? He is coming for us and I am afraid I am on the list. It may bring me to drink again in the Sober October. Is it the October surprise? No. It is the spooky season everyone is talking to me about!!!

sold Ṁ19 YES

If not elected, […] everything else [resolves] no immediately after election results.

This is rather counterintuitive, given the title already has 'if' in it, that would usually imply n/a in the event the condition isn't met

Would you rather edit the title to match the description or vice versa?

@TheAllMemeingEye Not sure what you're complaining about here. Just rolling with it, pretty self explanatory in the sense it's setting up a presidency where he goes after people/institutions more so than setting the conditions for resolution.

@Predictor I think it means everything here is way too high, probably because people didn't read the description carefully.

I don't have the mana but add John Kelly - Bill Barr Mark Milley - Biden Crime Family

Quantum GamblerboughtṀ50 NO
reposted

There are a lot of bad people out there.  And you really have to go…If you have a problem, if you have a problem with someone, you have to go after them. And it’s not necessarily to teach that person a lesson. It’s to teach all of the people that are watching a lesson. That you don’t take crap. And if you take crap, you’re just not going to do well…But you can’t take a lot of nonsense from people, you have to go after them.

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