Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

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77%

Mark Carney (or other Liberal leader)

23%

Pierre Poilievre

Justin Trudeau

Other

Jagmeet Singh

Yves-François Blanchet

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LOESS curve of opinion polls of voters for the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign:

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Up-to-date as of April 8, 2025. 30-poll smoothing factor. Square root applied to sample sizes when weighting. Highlight ribbon is of 95% confidence interval of local regression standard error (not polling margin of error).

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April 18th, Noon EST:

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