Will Lemmy Significantly Gain on Mastodon by end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Lemmy Significantly Gain on Mastodon by end of 2024?

Basic

6

Ṁ245

Jan 1

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

At the time of creating this market, the ratio of Lemmy/Mastodon

= (1,679,765)/(9,039,016) = 0.186

According to:

https://the-federation.info/

Will the Lemmy/Mastodon ratio increase by a factor of 1.3.

Resolves yes, if ratio above 0.242

Other:

https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-misskey-significantly-gain-on

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Looks like this will probably be a NO soon? The current ratio is 287500/2950515 = 0.0974 which is well below 0.242.

It seems the source may need to change on this. Thoughts? https://fedidb.org/

@PatrickDelaney either one is ok

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