Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]? | Manifold

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Basic

6

Ṁ625

2035

84%

>100k in 2028

82%

>100k in 2029

79%

>100k in 2030

76%

>100k in 2031

72%

>100k in 2032

68%

>100k in 2033

64%

>100k in 2034

I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.

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1,000

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For comparison, the current number is over 600,000, and actually rising in recent years, though significantly down from around a million in 2010.

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Related questions

Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?

Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

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