Will there be more than one million new HIV infections globally in 2025?
Will there be more than one million new HIV infections globally in 2025?
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2
Ṁ132026
61%
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1M
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Resolves based on WHO data, once it becomes available for 2025: https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/hiv-aids/data-on-the-size-of-the-hiv-aids-epidemic
They estimate 1.5 million new infections in 2021.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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