I will resolve based on the success of TikTok in acquiring their sought relief, specifically:
Broadly, a ruling that the entire law or at least the portions that allow the US government to enforce the "tiktok ban" (via bans on app and cloud hosting) are unconstitutional would cause a resolution in favor of TikTok, while a ruling that allows the ban to proceed would resolve in favor of the US government.
This market resolves based on the final ruling of the US Judicial System, including appeals. I will resolve based on when it is clear the judiciary has issued a final ruling, whether that's via SCOTUS ruling or cert being denied by a higher court.
1,000
3.00@creator Should this market be extended, since the case is still pending (and likely will be for a while longer)?
Also, what happens if the US Government (ie. the Trump administration) requests dismissal of the case, Congress passes a new law cancelling the ban, or something of the like?