SpaceX is the only company so far who have propulsively landed an orbital rocket booster. So far they've landed 194 of them in 205 attempts, with most failures happening at the start. They've had a success streak of 120 launches. It seems like they've figured it all out — on the other hand, they keep pushing the limits with hotter reentries and shorter suicide burns. Will they maintain their streak?
This market resolves Yes if a Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy attempts to land one of its boosters, but fails. Resolves No if Falcons are retired without this happening.
Falcon heavy center cores and side cores both count, besides normal Falcon 9 boosters.
A failure of the booster at any point after stage separation counts, for example if it fails due to a faulty boostback burn or reentry burn.
If a failure happens before stage separation, it does not count for this market.
If SpaceX intentionally expends a booster or blows it up for test purposes, it does not count for this market.
See also:
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 500 times?YES
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 600 times?95%
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00